Market Insights: Nifty’s Choppy Ride, Bank Nifty Struggles, and Key Stock Movements

Key Market Takeaways – 21 October 2024

Volatility Index: Low at 13.76

  • Low: Below 15
  • Medium: Between 15-20
  • High: Above 20

Index Performance Recap

  • Nifty 50 dropped below 24,700 in early trading, facing a volatile session throughout the day.
  • Bank Nifty started the week with a pessimistic tone, unable to carry forward last Friday’s optimism.
  • Sensex experienced similar bearish trends.

Action Points for Key Indices

IndexCMPPositional TrendPositional SupportPositional ResistancePCRMax Pain
Nifty 5024,781.00Slightly Bearish24,700 – 24,60025,000 – 25,2000.8124,800
Bank Nifty51,963.00Slightly Bearish51,500 – 51,10052,300 – 52,8000.8752,000
Sensex81,151.00Slightly BearishN/AN/AN/A82,100

Technical Outlook for Nifty 50

  • The weakness in broader markets places Friday’s low around 24,600 (which aligns with the 89-day exponential moving average) as a crucial support level.
  • Resistance stands at 25,000, coinciding with the 50-day EMA, followed by a significant hurdle at 25,250.

Option Chain Analysis

  • Call Writers were active at the 25,000 and 24,900 strikes, adding fresh positions.
  • Put Writers unwound positions in the 24,800-24,500 range, signaling cautious sentiment.
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Put-Call Ratio (PCR)

  • The overall market sentiment remains sideways, with the PCR for Nifty at 0.81.
DatePCR
21-10-20240.81
18-10-20240.93
17-10-20240.88
16-10-20240.74

FII and DII Activity

  • Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) were net sellers with a withdrawal of ₹2,261.83 crore.
  • Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) stepped in with net purchases amounting to ₹3,225.91 crore.

F&O Expiry Watch

  • FINNIFTY expiry saw active participation, with a focus on stock-specific trades amidst heightened volatility.

Actionable Trading Ideas

  • Given the choppy market, it’s wise to focus on stock-specific opportunities, but traders should exercise caution as several individual stocks have faced sharp declines.

Key News & Events

  • UltraTech Cement: Q2 net profit declined by 36% YoY to ₹820 crore, missing expectations due to weak demand and project delays.
  • Tejas Network: Shares surged 20% to ₹1,425.20 after the company posted strong Q2 results with revenue skyrocketing nearly 7x to ₹2,811 crore.
  • Tata Consumer Products: The stock fell over 7% as Q2 net profit remained flat at ₹359 crore, despite a 13% revenue increase.
  • Kotak Mahindra Bank: Shares dropped nearly 5% as Q2 profit rose 5% YoY to ₹3,344 crore, missing market estimates.
  • Netweb Technologies: Shares hit a record high after the company’s Q2 net profit surged 70.2% YoY to ₹25.7 crore.

Stay tuned for more updates on market trends, key events, and actionable insights!

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